I believe this photo best summarizes where we are with the Coronavirus stock market.
As they say:
Don’t count your chicken before they hatch.
This market has gotten way ahead of itself and the pending economic realities of the Coronavirus and the consequences of the trillions of response fund debt.
- The virus does not yet have a vaccine, and it is mutating and may become even more virulent!
- The deaths continue to soar in the U.S. with now over 75,000 dead in just two months.
- The deaths involve much pain and suffering both for the victim and his/her grieving loved ones.
- The unemployment is at all time highs since the Great Depression.
- Companies are starting to move from temporary layoffs to permanent firings and contraction, and many eventually to bankruptcy.
- Profitability and gross domestic product are way down and may be even worse in the next quarter.
- Price Earning ratios are around their 10-year highs even looking out toward a possible 2021 recovery.
- Restarting the economy does not mean a return to what was as the extreme trauma from the pandemic, shutdown, and social distancing rebalance us to a “new normal.”
- A second and third wave of Coronavirus may be as bad or even worse than the first.
- The two biggest global economies of the U.S. and China are facing a deteriorating and toxic relationship.
- The lingering $3,000,000,000,000 that we just added to our National Debt is going to increasingly strangle our future economic outlook.
- The election is in November and brings increasing instability and likely volatility.
In summary, the term used by former Fed Chairman, Alan Greenspan of “irrational exuberance” seems like a gross understatement when it comes to our current stock market.
Get ready to see the froth come painfully off this drunken market — these eggs are about ready to crack. ;-)
(Credit Photo: Andy Blumenthal)